Iowa Predictions Sure to Go Wrong
Posted by
Kevin
I wish I could remember where I stole that line form …
Dems:
- Clinton
- Edwards
- Obama
Just a hunch. Clinton has the dem machine to get the voters out, Edwards has the unions and his experience from 2004 to do the same and I think that over powers the Obama ground game. I also have a hard time believing turnout is going to skyrocket like it needs to for Obama to win. If this does happen, then I think Obama is probably dead as Edwards becomes the new “anti-Hillary”. Probably wont be enough to win New Hampshire for him, though, and without money parity, he probably gets creamed on Feb 5th. The best result, in my opinion, is Edwards, Obama, Clinton followed by a New Hampshire of Clinton, Edwards, Obama or Edwards, Clinton, Obama. Then we would have a real race at least through the 5th.
Repubs:
- Romney
- Huckabee
- McCain
- Thompson
- Rudy
Huckabee’s campaign seems to be really, really incompetent at the mechanics of politics. That cannot help him here, where getting people to the door matters a lot.
Our top three for both camps are the same. Should be interesting.
Comment 1/3/2008
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Pingback 1/3/2008
I seem to remember there being another Republican running…
Comment 1/3/2008
Right now it looks like you got it upside down, at least on the DP side…
Comment 1/3/2008
Being from Canada, I know I don’t have any input in the election process. But, I am following the campaigns to a point on CNN, blogs and other internet sites and my two cents worth would be that the US would best be served by having Obama take on Huckabee in the presidential race. Both men seem to be more interested in doing what’s best for their country than in just gaining power.
Just a thought.
Comment 1/3/2008
Big U,
(By the way, nice to see you again.)
You must have been watching a completely different Huckabee than I have. He’s a lunatic creationist theocrat who thinks the US isn’t religious or prudish enough. He wants power so that he can “return” to his illusionary golden age of when the state bleated out to the death-cultist sky fairy for every need and a strong dose of insanity stood for moral character.
I suppose he might think that’s doing what’s best for the country, but I think the same could be said for Hitler’s “Final Solution”. (Yeah, yeah, Godwin can bite me.)
Comment 1/4/2008
Dan M > I haven’t been watching from the start and must admit that I have only been watching Huckabee in the past month or so (and with Christmas, not that closely). Most of what I have seen hasn’t appeared extreme, but I will do more hunting now that you’ve pointed that out. Thanks for the info. Any sites (other than partisan blogs) that you can direct me to to get detailed info on him? I avoid the candidates pages because clearly they all have agendas and spin.
Comment 1/4/2008
BU,
I assume that LeanLeft here counts as a partisan blog, but it’s got a few posts about Huckabee. http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/ is a biology blog that repeatedly discusses his creationist delusions and his religious zealotry. And http://www.feministing.com/ has had a few pieces on his radical reactionary social stances. Interestingly, TG here recently linked to http://slacktivist.typepad.com/, which has the rare feature of being written by theists while not being insane, and they’ve also commented on Huckabee’s extremism.
Mind you, all of these are blogs, and all of them have strong political opinions, but none of them are per se interested in a particular political party; they’re all issue based. But I think that you’ll find that they have plenty of links to more primary material, such as news articles and Huckabee’s own oratory.
Comment 1/4/2008