It looks as if last night was a tie. I cannot find a definitive delegate count from last night, as some states are still reporting, but it looks like its going to be very close either way. Obama did not get a knock out punch by winning Cali, NJ or Mass, but he did win MO and Del, two upsets, and he did close the gap in the big three states enough to ensure that Clinton did not run away with the lion’s share of those delegates. Clinton did not, generally, keep it close in the states Obama won and she did not blow away Obama in the delegate rich states. So, we are essentially tied.

February looks good for Obama. He is probably favored everywhere but Wisconsin and if he can win in Wisconsin, it might be March 4th before Clinton can get a win. Unfortunately for Obama, the rest of February is delegate poor, so a string of wins would look good but not do much to push Clinton out of the way. Ohio and Texas are both March 4th and Clinton has lead in those states pretty consistently from what I have been able to tell. If someone wins big in both those states, then they would have to be considered the favorite. Can Clinton hold large leads in those states in the face of a string of Obama wins in February? Will voters in Ohio and Texas me impressed with Obama’s momentum and take another look at him? If March 4th is a split, then the next big delegate haul will be Pennsylvania.

Last night settled nothing, and its likely that the rest of this month and March 4th will settle nothing as well. It looks as if we are in this for the long haul.