Computers Make Medicine Harder
Posted by Kevin

Unless you really work at integrating them:

linical information technology systems – especially those known in the health care industry as computerized provider order entry (CPOE) systems – promise to improve health outcomes, reduce medical errors and increase cost efficiency, but hospitals adopting them must plan for “immense” workflow issues and a host of other unanticipated consequences that come with them or face potentially crippling problems, concluded a study led by researchers at Oregon Health & Science University.
The researchers found in a survey of 176 hospitals where CPOE systems have been integrated into daily operations that unintended adverse consequences were virtually universal. CPOE systems are those that require a physician or other health care professional to enter prescriptions and other medical orders directly into a computer database.

For six out of eight previously defined categories of unintended consequences, more than 70 percent of the institutions ranked the level of impact on operations as “moderately to very important.” Those were issues involving alterations in workloads, workflow, communication patterns, never ending system demands, emotions and system overdependence that led to havoc during system failures. Doctors, for example, were spending much more time at the computer inputting prescriptions and other orders.

One of the reason the VA does so well compared to private systems is that it has a wonderful computerized record keeping system. Nut the VA is not like a private hospital. It has enormous incentives to reduce costs (since it is a government program dealing with veterans, and under great scrutiny as a result) and it generally has a patient in the system from their first visit to their death. Hospitals and private practice have neither advantage. Training is a short term drain on profits with a pay off that can only bessen far down the road and patients are truly transitory. It is rare for a patient to stay with one hospital or private practive for a significant amount of time.

Unfortunately, these problems are preventing the adoption of system that literally save lives:

At least 400,000 preventable drug-related injuries occur in hospitals each year, the Institute of Medicine of the National Academies reported last year, and illegible handwritten prescriptions figure in a significant share of them. Prescriptions ordered electronically are safer and, combined with decision support tools, automatically alert prescribers to possible interactions, allergies and other potential problems, the Institute said, and urged that all health care providers have electronic systems in place by 2010.

Fears that the CPOE “cure” might be worse than the disease likely are impeding the diffusion of CPOE throughout hospitals in the United States, the authors of the JAMIA paper asserted. Those fears gained credence when a pediatrics hospital in Pittsburgh attributed a higher mortality rate to its CPOE system—mistakenly, it later turned out—and when Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles, hospital of the stars, shelved its $34 million system after a staff revolt.

One small advantage of a single payer system might — and I stress might as the political will to enforce this change would have to be present — force private practioners to use these kinds of systems as they are both a life and cost saver.

August 3rd, 2007 | Health | one comment

Atlantic Hurricanes Doubled Over Last Century
Posted by Kevin

More signs of the effects of global climate change?:

About twice as many Atlantic hurricanes form each year on average than a century ago, according to a new statistical analysis of hurricanes and tropical storms in the north Atlantic. The study concludes that warmer sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and altered wind patterns associated with global climate change are fueling much of the increase.

The study, by Greg Holland of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and Peter Webster of Georgia Institute of Technology, will be published online July 30 in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London.

“These numbers are a strong indication that climate change is a major factor in the increasing number of Atlantic hurricanes,” says Holland.

The analysis identifies three periods since 1900, separated by sharp transitions, during which the average number of hurricanes and tropical storms increased dramatically and then remained elevated and relatively steady. The first period, between 1900 and 1930, saw an average of six Atlantic tropical cyclones (or major storms), of which four were hurricanes and two were tropical storms. From 1930 to 1940, the annual average increased to 10, consisting of five hurricanes and five tropical storms. In the final study period, from 1995 to 2005, the average reached 15, of which eight were hurricanes and seven were tropical storms.

This is suggestive because we know that the global climate has warmed considerably over that same period. It also is what one would expect to find if the Atlantic were warming: the extra energy in the water would translate to more storms being created and those storms that are created being more powerful. This study does not address the last question, however. It just looks at the frequency of storms. It does note that the ratio of hurricanes to tropical storms has remained the same. That could support the notion that global warming is not having an effect on the strength of severe storms in the Atlantic. It could also mean nothing of the sort: climate change could be making storms much stronger than they normally would be, resulting in the same ratio of tropical storms to hurricanes but more powerful hurricanes and tropical storms in general.

At any rate, this study looks to be more evidence that we are making the planet more and more hostile to our presence.

UPDATE: [tgirsch] Link

August 3rd, 2007 | Environment, Science, Climate Change | 10 comments